The 2012 NFL Draft is here! This evening at 8PM ET, Round 1 will take place in NYC. We'll be tweeting with commentary about selections, trades and other team moves.
Wonder's Final Draft Board for 2012 is online. Click the zoom (+) key 3 times. He made a few changes to his positional assessments, lowering some of his 3's to 4's and lowering some 4's to 5's to adjust for the overall weak stock in the draft. THEY CAN'T ALL BE STARTERS! Remember, the average team generates 2.3 starters per draft. Yet isn't it remarkable how EVERY year, all 32 GMs say (with confidence) how well they have done?!! As we have noted here before, 70% of parents believe their kids are above average.
Round 1 should be understood for what it is: a lack of QUALITY. Once you get past Luck and Griffen, there is a noticeable talent drop off. This means that trading up is not going to be a value decision.
In this draft, my preference would probably be to trade down. Assuming the Giants do not get Hightower at any point, I would take Lavonte David at 32. If David is not there, I'd draft one of the linemen (DeCastro, Glenn, Konz) who will possibly fall, Ronnell Lewis (he's a 3-4 LBer but I'd take him), or Harrison Smith.
All I keep reading about here in the NY area mocks is the Giants taking Coby Fleener. NO. Why not? Because Gilbride wastes his TE's, so why should I waste MY pick?! Besides, Reese went after Bennett in Free Agency specifically so he did not have to pick a TE.
Doug Martin is another player talked about. The reason why I am, all else equal, against that pick is that the Giants are TERRIFIC in later rounds at finding Running Backs. So why do I ever need a Round 1 Running Back?! It is really quite simple: Get me a slab of beef to protect Eli, or a Linebacker that is going to be the missing piece in the defensive puzzle!
Let's have some fun tonight.. follow me on twitter.
ps thanks for the "catch" on Randle, 3-80 overrated
Great job as always. The Giants will draft the best player available. They always do. I would love an impact LB....probably won't happen. How about a big time TE....Coby Fleener? Probably not. A RB who can carry between the tackles like Doug Martin...nah the Giants never draft who I want. Let's face it, when it is all said and done we will probably see another DE drafted at 32. Andre Branch? Why not? It is what they do. For the record, I'm watching Game 7...Go Rangers!
I say we should go RB at 32. In many endeavors, best value lies in going against the conventional wisdom or the latest trend. I see a big gap between Martin and Wilson (arguably worth a late first) and the next tier (James, Polk, Miller), not least because Martin and Wilson can both block and take it to the house. Even if we can get a pretty good sleeper RB in a late round, the odds of finding a Bradshaw-level gamechanger are very small. And I think our late season run had a lot to do with Bradshaw coming back to effectiveness. But he's injury prone and probably on the downside, so a premier RB will be invaluable to us, certainly two years from now (the proper time frame for assessing needs) and possibly even right away.
So really, what are the chances the Giants actually take an offensive lineman or linebacker in the first round? We keep hoping for that to happen and it seems like it never does. Maybe this is the year.....
On another side note, see Andy cited at NY Times Fifth Down Blog again today: http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/04/26/redskins-risk-and-how-giants-build-winners/?ref=sports
On a side note, since it is public that the first two picks are automatics with Luck in Grifin, wouldn't it be typical of the NFL to drag out these picks and use up most of the allotted 15 minutes just for ratings and airtime.